DR JESSICA MELBOURNE-THOMAS

Dr Melbourne-Thomas joined the ACE Ecosystem Impacts Program as an Ecological Statistician in March 2011. In this role she is interacting and collaborating with data holders and modelers in the CRC and its partner agencies, particularly the AAD and those participating in the international program Integrating Climate and Ecosystem Dynamics in the Southern Ocean (ICED). More specifically, she is contributing to the development of end-to-end (also known as whole-of-system) models for physical, biogeochemical and foodweb dynamics in the East Antarctic region. This involves developing and testing existing ecosystem model frameworks for Antarctic systems, and identifying coupling points for integrating ecosystem dynamics with regional-scale oceanographic and biogeochemical models. Jess is also contributing to the development of qualitative models to explore climate change impacts on Antarctic marine foodwebs, as part of the risk assessment component of the ACE Ecosystem Impacts Program.

T: +61 3 6226 6658
E: Jessica.MelbourneThomas@utas.edu.au

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PUBLICATIONS

Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, T. Fung, R. M. Seymour, L. M. Chérubin, J. E. Arias- González, and E. A. Fulton. 2011. Regional-scale scenario modeling for coral reefs: a decision support tool to inform management of a complex system. Ecological Applications 21:1380-1398.

Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, P. Perez, J. Eustache, E. Fulton, and D. Cleland. 2011. Coupling biophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean. Ecology & Society 16(3):23.

Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, and E. Fulton. 2011. Characterizing sensitivity and uncertainty in a model of a complex coral reef system. Ecological Modelling 222:3320-3334.

Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, P. M. Aliño, R. C. Geronimo, C. L. Villanoy, and G. G. Gurney. 2011. A multi-scale biophysical model to inform regional management of coral reefs in the western Philippines and South China Sea. Environmental Modelling & Software 26:66-82.

Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, and E. Fulton. 2011. Regional-scale scenario analysis for the Meso-American Reef system: modelling coral reef futures under multiple stressors. Ecological Modelling 222:1756-1770.

Johnson, C. R., S. C. Banks, N. S. Barrett, F. Cazassus, P. K. Dunstan, G. J. Edgar, S. D. Frusher, C. Gardner, M. Haddon, F. Helidoniotis, K. L. Hill, N. J. Holbrook, G. W. Hosie, P. R. Last, S. D. Ling, J. Melbourne-Thomas, K. Miller, G. T. Pecl, A. J. Richardson, K. R. Ridgway, S. R. Rintoul, D. A. Ritz, J. Ross, J. C. Sanderson, S. A. Shepherd, A. Slotwinski, K. M. Swadling, and N. Taw. 2011. Climate change cascades: shifts in oceanography, species’ ranges and marine community dynamics in eastern Tasmania. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 400:17-32.

Melbourne-Thomas, J. 2010. A decision support tool for managing coral reefs at regional scales. Pages 77-81 in D. Cleland, J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. King, and G. Sheehan, editors. Building capacity in coral reef science: an anthology of CRTR scholars' research 2010. The Coral Reef Targeted Research & Capacity Building for Management (CRTR) Program, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia.

Haapkyla, J., J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. Flavell, and B. L. Willis. 2010. Season and coral community structure drive coral disease prevalence on Heron Island, Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Coral Reefs 29:1035-1045.

Haapkyla, J., R. K. F. Unsworth, A. S. Seymour, J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. Flavell, B. L. Willis, and D. J. Smith. 2009. Spatio-temporal coral disease dynamics in the Wakatobi Marine National Park, South-East Sulawesi, Indonesia. Diseases of Aquatic Organisms 87:105-115.

Haapkyla, J., A. S. Seymour, J. Trebilco, and D. Smith. 2007. Coral disease prevalence and coral health in the Wakatobi Marine Park, south-east Sulawesi, Indonesia. Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the UK 87:403-414.

Habeeb, R. L., J. Trebilco, S. Wotherspoon, and C. R. Johnson. 2005. Determining natural scales of ecological systems. Ecological Monographs 75:467-487.