DR JESSICA MELBOURNE-THOMAS, ECOLOGICAL MODELLER
Dr Melbourne-Thomas joined the ACE Ecosystem Impacts Program as an Ecological Statistician in March 2011. She now works as an Ecological Modeller with the Australian Antarctic Division and the ACE CRC. In this role she is interacting and collaborating with data holders and modelers in the CRC and its partner agencies, particularly those participating in the international program Integrating Climate and Ecosystem Dynamics in the Southern Ocean (ICED). More specifically, she is contributing to the development of end-to-end (also known as whole-of-system) models for physical, biogeochemical and foodweb dynamics in the East Antarctic region. This involves developing and testing existing ecosystem model frameworks for Antarctic systems, and identifying coupling points for integrating ecosystem dynamics with regional-scale oceanographic and biogeochemical models. Jess has also developed qualitative models to explore climate change impacts on Antarctic marine foodwebs, as part of the risk assessment component of the ACE Ecosystem Impacts Program.
T: +61 3 6232 3322
PEER REVIEWED PUBLICATIONS
Constable, A. J., J. Melbourne-Thomas, S. P. Corney, K. R. Arrigo, C. Barbraud, D. K. A. Barnes, N. L. Bindoff, P. W. Boyd, A. Brandt, D. P. Costa, A. T. Davidson, H. W. Ducklow, L. Emmerson, M. Fukuchi, J. Gutt, M. A. Hindell, E. E. Hofmann, G. W. Hosie, T. Iida, S. Jacob, N. M. Johnston, S. Kawaguchi, N. Kokubun, P. Koubbi, M.-A. Lea, A. Makhado, R. A. Massom, K. Meiners, M. P. Meredith, E. J. Murphy, S. Nicol, K. Reid, K. Richerson, M. J. Riddle, S. R. Rintoul, W. O. Smith Jr, C. Southwell, J. S. Stark, M. Sumner, K. M. Swadling, K. T. Takahashi, P. N. Trathan, D. C. Welsford, H. Weimerskirch, K. J. Westwood, B. C. Wienecke, D. Wolf-Gladrow, S. W. Wright, J. C. Xavier, and P. Ziegler. 2014. Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I: how changes in physical habitats directly affect marine biota. Global Change Biology. doi:10.1111/gcb.12623.
Gurney, G. G., J. Melbourne-Thomas, R. C. Geronimo, P. M. Aliño, and C. R. Johnson. 2013. Modelling coral reef futures to inform management: can reducing local-scale stressors conserve reefs under climate change? PLoS ONE 8:e80137.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., S. Wotherspoon, S. Corney, E. molina-Balari, O. Marini, and A. Constable. 2013. Optimal control and system limitation in a Southern Ocean ecosystem model. Deep-Sea Research Part II. doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.02.017.
Haapkylä, J., J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. Flavell, and B. L. Willis. 2013. Disease outbreaks, bleaching and a cyclone drive changes in coral assemblages on an inshore reef of the Great Barrier Reef. Coral Reefs. doi:10.1007/s00338-013-1029-x.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., A. Constable, S. Wotherspoon, and B. Raymond. 2013. Testing paradigms of ecosystem change under climate warming in Antarctica. PLoS ONE 8:e55093.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., and A. Constable. 2013. Modelling foodweb responses to harvesting and climate change in different regions of the Southern Ocean. IMBER Newsletter 23 (April 2013):10–11.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., S. Wotherspoon, B. Raymond, and A. Constable. 2012. Comprehensive evaluation of model uncertainty in qualitative network analyses. Ecological Monographs 82(4):505-519.
Fischer, E. V., K. R. M. Mackey, D. F. Cusack, L. R. G. DeSantis, L. Hartzell-Nichols, J. A. Lutz, J. Melbourne-Thomas, R. Meyer, D. A. Riveros-Iregui, C. J. Sorte, J. R. Taylor, and S. A. White. 2012. Is pretenure interdisciplinary research a career risk? Eos 93(32):311–312.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, T. Fung, R. M. Seymour, L. M. Chérubin, J. E. Arias- González, and E. A. Fulton. 2011. Regional-scale scenario modeling for coral reefs: a decision support tool to inform management of a complex system. Ecological Applications 21:1380-1398.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, P. Perez, J. Eustache, E. Fulton, and D. Cleland. 2011. Coupling biophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean. Ecology & Society 16(3):23.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, and E. Fulton. 2011. Characterizing sensitivity and uncertainty in a model of a complex coral reef system. Ecological Modelling 222:3320-3334.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, P. M. Aliño, R. C. Geronimo, C. L. Villanoy, and G. G. Gurney. 2011. A multi-scale biophysical model to inform regional management of coral reefs in the western Philippines and South China Sea. Environmental Modelling & Software 26:66-82.
Melbourne-Thomas, J., C. R. Johnson, and E. Fulton. 2011. Regional-scale scenario analysis for the Meso-American Reef system: modelling coral reef futures under multiple stressors. Ecological Modelling 222:1756-1770.
Johnson, C. R., S. C. Banks, N. S. Barrett, F. Cazassus, P. K. Dunstan, G. J. Edgar, S. D. Frusher, C. Gardner, M. Haddon, F. Helidoniotis, K. L. Hill, N. J. Holbrook, G. W. Hosie, P. R. Last, S. D. Ling, J. Melbourne-Thomas, K. Miller, G. T. Pecl, A. J. Richardson, K. R. Ridgway, S. R. Rintoul, D. A. Ritz, J. Ross, J. C. Sanderson, S. A. Shepherd, A. Slotwinski, K. M. Swadling, and N. Taw. 2011. Climate change cascades: shifts in oceanography, species’ ranges and marine community dynamics in eastern Tasmania. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 400:17-32.
Melbourne-Thomas, J. 2010. A decision support tool for managing coral reefs at regional scales. Pages 77-81 in D. Cleland, J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. King, and G. Sheehan, editors. Building capacity in coral reef science: an anthology of CRTR scholars' research 2010. The Coral Reef Targeted Research & Capacity Building for Management (CRTR) Program, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia.
Haapkyla, J., J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. Flavell, and B. L. Willis. 2010. Season and coral community structure drive coral disease prevalence on Heron Island, Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Coral Reefs 29:1035-1045.
Haapkyla, J., R. K. F. Unsworth, A. S. Seymour, J. Melbourne-Thomas, M. Flavell, B. L. Willis, and D. J. Smith. 2009. Spatio-temporal coral disease dynamics in the Wakatobi Marine National Park, South-East Sulawesi, Indonesia. Diseases of Aquatic Organisms 87:105-115.
Haapkyla, J., A. S. Seymour, J. Trebilco, and D. Smith. 2007. Coral disease prevalence and coral health in the Wakatobi Marine Park, south-east Sulawesi, Indonesia. Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the UK 87:403-414.
Habeeb, R. L., J. Trebilco, S. Wotherspoon, and C. R. Johnson. 2005. Determining natural scales of ecological systems. Ecological Monographs 75:467-487.